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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

29%

Millwall

3.46

28%

Draw

3.58

43%

Coventry

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.55

1.43

Coventry xG

29%
28%
43%
MillwallDrawCoventry

3.46

29%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

24%

Millwall

4.16

33%

Coventry

3.07

Win to Nil

7%

Millwall

14.41

14%

Coventry

7.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.2 8.0 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 8.8 12.5 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.122
λ Away (xG) 1.426
Total xG 2.548
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.160
Millwall attack strength 0.791
Millwall defence strength 1.031
Coventry attack strength 1.191
Coventry defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53