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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

35%

Millwall

2.90

32%

Draw

3.10

33%

Bristol City

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.09

1.03

Bristol City xG

35%
32%
33%
MillwallDrawBristol City

2.90

35%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

36%

Millwall

2.81

35%

Bristol City

2.88

Win to Nil

12%

Millwall

8.13

12%

Bristol City

8.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 12.8 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.9 7.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.057
λ Away (xG) 1.032
Total xG 2.089
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Millwall attack strength 0.847
Millwall defence strength 0.945
Bristol City attack strength 0.942
Bristol City defence strength 0.900
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69