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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

41%

Millwall

2.45

31%

Draw

3.27

29%

Bristol City

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.09

0.93

Bristol City xG

41%
31%
29%
MillwallDrawBristol City

2.45

41%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

40%

Millwall

2.52

31%

Bristol City

3.19

Win to Nil

16%

Millwall

6.18

9%

Bristol City

11.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 11.5 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.4 13.3 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.3
3 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 2.086
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.033
Millwall attack strength 0.837
Millwall defence strength 0.956
Bristol City attack strength 0.936
Bristol City defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 80