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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Tue 21 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

38%

Middlesbrough

2.60

30%

Draw

3.34

32%

West Brom

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.44

1.15

West Brom xG

38%
30%
32%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Brom

2.60

38%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

32%

Middlesbrough

3.16

28%

West Brom

3.63

Win to Nil

12%

Middlesbrough

8.21

9%

West Brom

11.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 10.0 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.3 12.9 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 8.3 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.438
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 0.977
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.035
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.093
West Brom attack strength 1.077
West Brom defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73