🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Middlesbrough Win
49%
2.04
31%
3.20
20%
5.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 0
12.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.35
Middlesbrough xG
Total xG
2.12
0.77
Watford xG
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
2.04
49%
Home win
3.20
31%
Draw
5.08
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.42
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
46%
2.15
26%
3.86
Win to Nil
23%
4.39
5%
19.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.0 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.2 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.0 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.351
λ Away (xG)
0.767
Total xG
2.118
League avg home goals
1.285
League avg away goals
1.186
Middlesbrough attack strength
0.859
Middlesbrough defence strength
0.813
Watford attack strength
0.796
Watford defence strength
1.224
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
90 / 90