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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

48%

Middlesbrough

2.07

23%

Draw

4.35

29%

Watford

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

3.20

1.37

Watford xG

48%
23%
29%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford

2.07

48%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

26%

Middlesbrough

3.92

16%

Watford

6.23

Win to Nil

12%

Middlesbrough

8.11

5%

Watford

21.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.5 10.2 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.2 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.829
λ Away (xG) 1.366
Total xG 3.195
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.035
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.109
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.107
Watford attack strength 1.192
Watford defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 78