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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

40%

Middlesbrough

2.48

31%

Draw

3.25

29%

Sheffield Utd

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

1.98

0.88

Sheffield Utd xG

40%
31%
29%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Utd

2.48

40%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

41%

Middlesbrough

2.42

33%

Sheffield Utd

3.00

Win to Nil

17%

Middlesbrough

6.00

10%

Sheffield Utd

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 12.2 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.1 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.3 7.4 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.100
λ Away (xG) 0.883
Total xG 1.983
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.148
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.961
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.850
Sheffield Utd attack strength 0.904
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49