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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

55%

Middlesbrough

1.82

27%

Draw

3.65

18%

Portsmouth

5.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.64

0.91

Portsmouth xG

55%
27%
18%
MiddlesbroughDrawPortsmouth

1.82

55%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

5.62

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

40%

Middlesbrough

2.48

18%

Portsmouth

5.62

Win to Nil

22%

Middlesbrough

4.52

3%

Portsmouth

31.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.4 11.2 5.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.7 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.635
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.187
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.994
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.844
Portsmouth attack strength 0.907
Portsmouth defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 86