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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

59%

Middlesbrough

1.69

26%

Draw

3.83

15%

Oxford United

6.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.32

0.69

Oxford United xG

59%
26%
15%
MiddlesbroughDrawOxford United

1.69

59%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

6.84

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

50%

Middlesbrough

1.99

20%

Oxford United

5.12

Win to Nil

30%

Middlesbrough

3.36

3%

Oxford United

35.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 6.8 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 16.0 11.0 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 13.1 9.0 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 7.1 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.634
λ Away (xG) 0.689
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.175
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.254
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.723
Oxford United attack strength 0.811
Oxford United defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 78