Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

52%

Middlesbrough

1.93

25%

Draw

3.96

23%

Norwich

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.54

0.96

Norwich xG

52%
25%
23%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich

1.93

52%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

38%

Middlesbrough

2.61

21%

Norwich

4.84

Win to Nil

20%

Middlesbrough

5.05

5%

Norwich

21.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.6 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 12.0 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.4 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.577
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.023
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.014
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.034
Norwich attack strength 0.909
Norwich defence strength 1.186
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90