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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

35%

Middlesbrough

2.89

33%

Draw

3.06

33%

Millwall

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.08

1.02

Millwall xG

35%
33%
33%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall

2.89

35%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

36%

Middlesbrough

2.78

35%

Millwall

2.88

Win to Nil

12%

Middlesbrough

8.05

11%

Millwall

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 12.8 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.0 7.2 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.5 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.059
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.083
League avg home goals 1.299
League avg away goals 1.176
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.981
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.779
Millwall attack strength 1.118
Millwall defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85