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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Tue 8 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

30%

Middlesbrough

3.35

26%

Draw

3.86

44%

Leeds

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.64

1.47

Leeds xG

30%
26%
44%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds

3.35

30%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

23%

Middlesbrough

4.36

31%

Leeds

3.20

Win to Nil

7%

Middlesbrough

14.62

14%

Leeds

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.6 7.8 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.3 12.3 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.8 7.1 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.163
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 2.636
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 0.990
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.067
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.075
Leeds attack strength 1.384
Leeds defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86