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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

42%

Middlesbrough

2.37

25%

Draw

3.96

33%

Hull City

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

3.14

1.46

Hull City xG

42%
25%
33%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City

2.37

42%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

23%

Middlesbrough

4.29

19%

Hull City

5.38

Win to Nil

10%

Middlesbrough

10.15

6%

Hull City

16.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.3 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.3 10.6 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.5 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 5.0 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.682
λ Away (xG) 1.456
Total xG 3.138
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.062
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.953
Hull City attack strength 1.319
Hull City defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69