Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 11 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

59%

Middlesbrough

1.71

27%

Draw

3.66

14%

Charlton

7.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.26

0.67

Charlton xG

59%
27%
14%
MiddlesbroughDrawCharlton

1.71

59%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

7.08

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

51%

Middlesbrough

1.95

20%

Charlton

4.93

Win to Nil

30%

Middlesbrough

3.33

3%

Charlton

34.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 6.9 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 16.6 11.1 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 8.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 7.0 4.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.596
λ Away (xG) 0.667
Total xG 2.263
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.215
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.080
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.700
Charlton attack strength 0.784
Charlton defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 36