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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

51%

Middlesbrough

1.97

25%

Draw

3.98

24%

Cardiff

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

3.02

1.20

Cardiff xG

51%
25%
24%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff

1.97

51%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

30%

Middlesbrough

3.33

16%

Cardiff

6.15

Win to Nil

15%

Middlesbrough

6.56

4%

Cardiff

25.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 10.7 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.817
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.008
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.076
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.093
Cardiff attack strength 1.092
Cardiff defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 70