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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

51%

Middlesbrough

1.95

31%

Draw

3.27

18%

Birmingham

5.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.5%

Draw

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

1.80

0.59

Birmingham xG

51%
31%
18%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham

1.95

51%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

5.51

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.18

69%

BTTS No

1.46

Clean Sheet

55%

Middlesbrough

1.81

30%

Birmingham

3.36

Win to Nil

28%

Middlesbrough

3.53

5%

Birmingham

18.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.5 9.8 2.9 0.6 0.1
1 19.9 11.8 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 12.1 7.2 2.1 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.211
λ Away (xG) 0.593
Total xG 1.804
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.160
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.985
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.798
Birmingham attack strength 0.641
Birmingham defence strength 0.994
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 14