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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

49%

Luton

2.03

28%

Draw

3.61

23%

Portsmouth

4.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Luton xG

Total xG

2.34

0.90

Portsmouth xG

49%
28%
23%
LutonDrawPortsmouth

2.03

49%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

4.32

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

41%

Luton

2.46

24%

Portsmouth

4.21

Win to Nil

20%

Luton

5.00

5%

Portsmouth

18.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 13.9 12.5 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.8 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.437
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.336
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.045
Luton attack strength 0.685
Luton defence strength 1.053
Portsmouth attack strength 0.818
Portsmouth defence strength 1.538
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34