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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
55%
1.81
28%
3.60
17%
5.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
12.6%
Draw
2 – 0
12.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Luton xG
Total xG
2.07
0.66
Plymouth xG
LutonDrawPlymouth
1.81
55%
Home win
3.60
28%
Draw
5.85
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.73
63%
BTTS No
1.58
Clean Sheet
52%
1.93
24%
4.11
Win to Nil
29%
3.50
4%
24.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 17.8 | 11.7 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.6 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.413
λ Away (xG)
0.656
Total xG
2.069
League avg home goals
1.348
League avg away goals
1.035
Luton attack strength
0.704
Luton defence strength
1.027
Plymouth attack strength
0.618
Plymouth defence strength
1.489
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
32 / 78