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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

49%

Luton

2.03

27%

Draw

3.68

24%

Norwich

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Luton xG

Total xG

2.59

1.02

Norwich xG

49%
27%
24%
LutonDrawNorwich

2.03

49%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

36%

Luton

2.77

21%

Norwich

4.84

Win to Nil

18%

Luton

5.61

5%

Norwich

20.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 12.0 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 2.594
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.017
Luton attack strength 0.990
Luton defence strength 1.105
Norwich attack strength 0.906
Norwich defence strength 1.136
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 70