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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Luton

2.97

35%

Draw

2.84

31%

Millwall

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Luton xG

Total xG

1.78

0.87

Millwall xG

34%
35%
31%
LutonDrawMillwall

2.97

34%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

42%

Luton

2.38

40%

Millwall

2.50

Win to Nil

14%

Luton

7.08

12%

Millwall

8.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 14.6 6.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.4 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.0 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.915
λ Away (xG) 0.869
Total xG 1.784
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.032
Luton attack strength 0.813
Luton defence strength 1.020
Millwall attack strength 0.825
Millwall defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 73