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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Leeds Win
20%
5.06
29%
3.46
51%
1.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.8%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.6%
Draw
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.69
Luton xG
Total xG
1.99
1.30
Leeds xG
LutonDrawLeeds
5.06
20%
Home win
3.46
29%
Draw
1.95
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.75
64%
BTTS No
1.57
Clean Sheet
27%
3.68
50%
1.99
Win to Nil
5%
18.59
26%
3.89
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.6 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.690
λ Away (xG)
1.302
Total xG
1.992
League avg home goals
1.323
League avg away goals
1.013
Luton attack strength
0.649
Luton defence strength
0.923
Leeds attack strength
1.393
Leeds defence strength
0.804
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
39 / 85