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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

41%

Luton

2.45

29%

Draw

3.47

30%

Coventry

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Luton xG

Total xG

2.21

1.00

Coventry xG

41%
29%
30%
LutonDrawCoventry

2.45

41%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

37%

Luton

2.73

30%

Coventry

3.36

Win to Nil

15%

Luton

6.69

9%

Coventry

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 11.0 5.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 13.2 13.3 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.0 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.211
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.214
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.011
Luton attack strength 0.760
Luton defence strength 0.947
Coventry attack strength 1.048
Coventry defence strength 1.209
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 90