Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

29%

Luton

3.47

34%

Draw

2.96

37%

Bristol City

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.9%

Away win

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Luton xG

Total xG

1.71

0.93

Bristol City xG

29%
34%
37%
LutonDrawBristol City

3.47

29%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.06

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

39%

Luton

2.53

46%

Bristol City

2.18

Win to Nil

11%

Luton

8.78

17%

Bristol City

5.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.1 16.9 7.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.1 13.1 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 5.5 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.778
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 1.708
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
Luton attack strength 0.638
Luton defence strength 0.946
Bristol City attack strength 0.983
Bristol City defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 89