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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

King Power Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leicester Win

40%

Leicester

2.53

26%

Draw

3.83

34%

Watford

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Leicester xG

Total xG

2.95

1.42

Watford xG

40%
26%
34%
LeicesterDrawWatford

2.53

40%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

24%

Leicester

4.12

22%

Watford

4.62

Win to Nil

10%

Leicester

10.43

7%

Watford

13.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.4 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.0 11.4 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.7 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.531
λ Away (xG) 1.416
Total xG 2.947
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.165
Leicester attack strength 0.987
Leicester defence strength 1.150
Watford attack strength 1.057
Watford defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 68