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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

King Power Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leicester Win

38%

Leicester

2.63

27%

Draw

3.77

35%

Birmingham

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Leicester xG

Total xG

2.57

1.26

Birmingham xG

38%
27%
35%
LeicesterDrawBirmingham

2.63

38%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

Leicester

3.51

27%

Birmingham

3.72

Win to Nil

11%

Leicester

9.22

10%

Birmingham

10.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 2.570
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.170
Leicester attack strength 0.963
Leicester defence strength 1.095
Birmingham attack strength 0.980
Birmingham defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 3