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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

68%

Leeds

1.48

20%

Draw

4.92

12%

Sunderland

8.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.67

0.69

Sunderland xG

68%
20%
12%
LeedsDrawSunderland

1.48

68%

Home win

4.92

20%

Draw

8.35

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

50%

Leeds

2.00

14%

Sunderland

7.26

Win to Nil

34%

Leeds

2.95

2%

Sunderland

60.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 9.5 3.3 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 9.4 3.2 0.7 0.1
3 9.0 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 4.4 3.1 1.1 0.2
5 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.982
λ Away (xG) 0.692
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.032
Leeds attack strength 1.658
Leeds defence strength 0.595
Sunderland attack strength 1.128
Sunderland defence strength 0.886
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 78