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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Leeds Win
70%
1.43
18%
5.41
12%
8.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.18
Leeds xG
Total xG
2.94
0.77
Stoke City xG
LeedsDrawStoke City
1.43
70%
Home win
5.41
18%
Draw
8.47
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.11
52%
BTTS No
1.90
Clean Sheet
46%
2.15
11%
8.83
Win to Nil
32%
3.09
1%
74.76
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.178
λ Away (xG)
0.767
Total xG
2.945
League avg home goals
1.284
League avg away goals
1.000
Leeds attack strength
1.506
Leeds defence strength
0.826
Stoke City attack strength
0.929
Stoke City defence strength
1.126
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
89 / 89