Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 12 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

67%

Leeds

1.49

22%

Draw

4.64

11%

Millwall

8.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.57

0.65

Millwall xG

67%
22%
LeedsDrawMillwall

1.49

67%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

8.75

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

52%

Leeds

1.92

15%

Millwall

6.79

Win to Nil

35%

Leeds

2.87

2%

Millwall

59.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.7 9.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 14.1 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 9.0 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
5 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.916
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.569
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.038
Leeds attack strength 1.553
Leeds defence strength 0.673
Millwall attack strength 0.935
Millwall defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82