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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

12:00

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ipswich Win

39%

Ipswich

2.58

27%

Draw

3.72

34%

Norwich

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Ipswich xG

Total xG

2.79

1.34

Norwich xG

39%
27%
34%
IpswichDrawNorwich

2.58

39%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

26%

Ipswich

3.83

24%

Norwich

4.22

Win to Nil

10%

Ipswich

9.89

8%

Norwich

12.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.3 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 8.9 12.0 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.441
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 2.785
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.174
Ipswich attack strength 1.377
Ipswich defence strength 1.083
Norwich attack strength 1.057
Norwich defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 54