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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Final

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Wembley Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

CANC

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

30%

Hull City

3.39

25%

Draw

4.07

46%

Southampton

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Hull City xG

Total xG

3.43

1.91

Southampton xG

30%
25%
46%
Hull CityDrawSouthampton

3.39

30%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

15%

Hull City

6.77

22%

Southampton

4.55

Win to Nil

4%

Hull City

22.94

10%

Southampton

9.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.2 5.9 3.8 1.8 0.7
1 4.9 9.4 9.0 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.7 7.1 6.8 4.3 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.6 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.515
λ Away (xG) 1.913
Total xG 3.428
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.211
Hull City attack strength 1.052
Hull City defence strength 1.106
Southampton attack strength 1.429
Southampton defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 46