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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hull City cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Plymouth.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hull City beat Plymouth 2-0 at The MKM Stadium, Regular Season - 35, in the Championship. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hull City 1.65 xG and Plymouth 0.83 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Plymouth landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hull City attack 0.84 / defence 1.24 against Plymouth attack 0.65 / defence 1.45, drawn from 80/80 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hull City 56% | Draw 25% | Plymouth 18%, with Hull City to win its most likely call at 56%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hull City 49%, Plymouth 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Hull City's trading profile (80 games, 40 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Plymouth's trading profile (80 games, 40 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Hull City 1.29 PPG, Plymouth 1.01 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Hull City win broke the near-deadlock. Hull City (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights