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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

MKM Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hull City Win

40%

Hull City

2.51

27%

Draw

3.70

33%

Middlesbrough

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Hull City xG

Total xG

2.58

1.22

Middlesbrough xG

40%
27%
33%
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough

2.51

40%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

30%

Hull City

3.38

26%

Middlesbrough

3.91

Win to Nil

12%

Hull City

8.49

8%

Middlesbrough

11.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.2 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.3 12.6 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 2.582
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.215
Hull City attack strength 1.034
Hull City defence strength 1.139
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.880
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64