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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
48%
2.10
29%
3.44
23%
4.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
12.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.27
Derby xG
Total xG
2.07
0.80
Stoke City xG
DerbyDrawStoke City
2.10
48%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
4.28
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.52
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
28%
3.58
Win to Nil
21%
4.68
7%
15.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 12.8 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.274
λ Away (xG)
0.800
Total xG
2.074
League avg home goals
1.302
League avg away goals
1.004
Derby attack strength
0.745
Derby defence strength
0.904
Stoke City attack strength
0.882
Stoke City defence strength
1.313
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 91