Derby vs Oxford United – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
45%
2.24
32%
3.08
23%
4.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.6%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.6%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.13
Derby xG
Total xG
1.86
0.73
Oxford United xG
DerbyDrawOxford United
2.24
45%
Home win
3.08
32%
Draw
4.35
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
55%
Over 1.5
1.82
45%
Under 1.5
2.22
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.81
64%
BTTS No
1.55
Clean Sheet
48%
2.07
32%
3.10
Win to Nil
22%
4.65
7%
13.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.6 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.6 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.0 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.131
λ Away (xG)
0.728
Total xG
1.859
League avg home goals
1.362
League avg away goals
1.049
Derby attack strength
0.741
Derby defence strength
1.083
Oxford United attack strength
0.641
Oxford United defence strength
1.121
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
31 / 31