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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Pride Park Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Derby

3.03

34%

Draw

2.98

33%

Millwall

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Derby xG

Total xG

1.82

0.92

Millwall xG

33%
34%
33%
DerbyDrawMillwall

3.03

33%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.76

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

40%

Derby

2.50

40%

Millwall

2.48

Win to Nil

13%

Derby

7.55

13%

Millwall

7.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 14.8 6.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 13.4 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 6.7 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.909
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 1.824
League avg home goals 1.360
League avg away goals 1.032
Derby attack strength 0.695
Derby defence strength 1.036
Millwall attack strength 0.856
Millwall defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 79