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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
56%
1.80
26%
3.78
18%
5.56
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.5%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.2%
Home win
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.48
Derby xG
Total xG
2.19
0.71
Luton xG
DerbyDrawLuton
1.80
56%
Home win
3.78
26%
Draw
5.56
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.55
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
49%
2.04
23%
4.38
Win to Nil
27%
3.67
4%
24.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.5 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.2 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.477
λ Away (xG)
0.712
Total xG
2.189
League avg home goals
1.270
League avg away goals
0.991
Derby attack strength
0.839
Derby defence strength
0.885
Luton attack strength
0.811
Luton defence strength
1.386
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42