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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

67%

Coventry

1.50

21%

Draw

4.73

12%

Watford

8.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.54

0.66

Watford xG

67%
21%
12%
CoventryDrawWatford

1.50

67%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

8.17

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

52%

Coventry

1.93

15%

Watford

6.55

Win to Nil

35%

Coventry

2.89

2%

Watford

53.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 9.8 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 14.0 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 8.8 5.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.879
λ Away (xG) 0.656
Total xG 2.535
League avg home goals 1.198
League avg away goals 1.152
Coventry attack strength 1.466
Coventry defence strength 0.727
Watford attack strength 0.783
Watford defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57