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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Coventry Win
51%
1.97
25%
4.08
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
1 – 0
8.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.84
Coventry xG
Total xG
3.07
1.23
Watford xG
CoventryDrawWatford
1.97
51%
Home win
4.08
25%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.66
40%
BTTS No
2.52
Clean Sheet
29%
3.41
16%
6.29
Win to Nil
15%
6.70
4%
25.56
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.839
λ Away (xG)
1.227
Total xG
3.066
League avg home goals
1.371
League avg away goals
1.029
Coventry attack strength
1.117
Coventry defence strength
1.054
Watford attack strength
1.132
Watford defence strength
1.201
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 74