Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

12:30

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

63%

Coventry

1.58

20%

Draw

4.90

16%

Southampton

6.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Coventry xG

Total xG

3.39

1.10

Southampton xG

63%
20%
16%
CoventryDrawSouthampton

1.58

63%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

6.18

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

33%

Coventry

2.99

10%

Southampton

9.88

Win to Nil

21%

Coventry

4.72

2%

Southampton

61.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.7 8.5 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.8 7.4 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.291
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 3.387
League avg home goals 1.295
League avg away goals 1.192
Coventry attack strength 1.354
Coventry defence strength 0.761
Southampton attack strength 1.209
Southampton defence strength 1.307
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 36