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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

45%

Coventry

2.22

30%

Draw

3.37

25%

Millwall

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.46

1.02

Millwall xG

45%
30%
25%
CoventryDrawMillwall

2.22

45%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

36%

Coventry

2.78

24%

Millwall

4.22

Win to Nil

16%

Coventry

6.16

6%

Millwall

16.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.5 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.441
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.463
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.035
Coventry attack strength 1.217
Coventry defence strength 1.287
Millwall attack strength 0.768
Millwall defence strength 0.829
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 68