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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

The Valley

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

37%

Charlton

2.69

28%

Draw

3.57

35%

Watford

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.34

1.15

Watford xG

37%
28%
35%
CharltonDrawWatford

2.69

37%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

32%

Charlton

3.16

30%

Watford

3.31

Win to Nil

12%

Charlton

8.50

11%

Watford

9.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 11.0 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 13.2 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.196
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.345
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.025
Charlton attack strength 0.850
Charlton defence strength 1.150
Watford attack strength 0.975
Watford defence strength 1.024
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 46