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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

The Valley

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

27%

Charlton

3.76

31%

Draw

3.28

43%

Millwall

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Charlton xG

Total xG

1.98

1.15

Millwall xG

27%
31%
43%
CharltonDrawMillwall

3.76

27%

Home win

3.28

31%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

32%

Charlton

3.15

43%

Millwall

2.30

Win to Nil

8%

Charlton

11.84

19%

Millwall

5.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 15.8 9.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 11.5 13.2 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 4.8 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.833
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 1.979
League avg home goals 1.326
League avg away goals 1.185
Charlton attack strength 0.707
Charlton defence strength 1.003
Millwall attack strength 0.964
Millwall defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 50