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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

44%

Cardiff

2.27

31%

Draw

3.23

25%

Oxford United

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Cardiff xG

Total xG

1.91

0.78

Oxford United xG

44%
31%
25%
CardiffDrawOxford United

2.27

44%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

46%

Cardiff

2.17

32%

Oxford United

3.11

Win to Nil

20%

Cardiff

4.92

8%

Oxford United

12.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 11.5 4.4 1.1 0.2
1 16.8 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 9.5 7.4 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.136
λ Away (xG) 0.775
Total xG 1.911
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
Cardiff attack strength 0.841
Cardiff defence strength 1.129
Oxford United attack strength 0.686
Oxford United defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 43