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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

66%

Cardiff

1.52

21%

Draw

4.79

13%

Luton

7.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.75

0.76

Luton xG

66%
21%
13%
CardiffDrawLuton

1.52

66%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

7.52

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

47%

Cardiff

2.14

14%

Luton

7.27

Win to Nil

31%

Cardiff

3.26

2%

Luton

54.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 9.7 3.7 0.9 0.2
2 12.6 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 8.3 6.4 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.984
λ Away (xG) 0.763
Total xG 2.747
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.029
Cardiff attack strength 0.954
Cardiff defence strength 1.093
Luton attack strength 0.679
Luton defence strength 1.551
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 36