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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

57%

Burnley

1.77

29%

Draw

3.44

14%

West Brom

6.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

2 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.85

0.53

West Brom xG

57%
29%
14%
BurnleyDrawWest Brom

1.77

57%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

6.93

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.30

70%

BTTS No

1.43

Clean Sheet

59%

Burnley

1.69

26%

West Brom

3.78

Win to Nil

33%

Burnley

2.99

4%

West Brom

26.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 8.2 2.2 0.4
1 20.8 10.9 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 13.8 7.3 1.9 0.3
3 6.1 3.2 0.8 0.1
4 2.0 1.1 0.3
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.330
λ Away (xG) 0.525
Total xG 1.855
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.029
Burnley attack strength 1.031
Burnley defence strength 0.532
West Brom attack strength 0.960
West Brom defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 82