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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

42%

Burnley

2.41

34%

Draw

2.91

24%

Sheffield Wednesday

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

18.3%

Draw

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.70

0.69

Sheffield Wednesday xG

42%
34%
24%
BurnleyDrawSheffield Wednesday

2.41

42%

Home win

2.91

34%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.12

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

50%

Burnley

2.00

37%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.73

Win to Nil

21%

Burnley

4.80

9%

Sheffield Wednesday

11.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.3 12.7 4.4 1.0 0.2
1 18.4 12.7 4.4 1.0 0.2
2 9.3 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.005
λ Away (xG) 0.691
Total xG 1.696
League avg home goals 1.347
League avg away goals 1.036
Burnley attack strength 0.728
Burnley defence strength 0.566
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 1.179
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 79