Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

48%

Burnley

2.09

31%

Draw

3.18

21%

Sheffield Utd

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.80

0.65

Sheffield Utd xG

48%
31%
21%
BurnleyDrawSheffield Utd

2.09

48%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.08

68%

BTTS No

1.48

Clean Sheet

52%

Burnley

1.91

32%

Sheffield Utd

3.16

Win to Nil

25%

Burnley

3.97

7%

Sheffield Utd

15.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 10.7 3.5 0.7 0.1
1 19.1 12.3 4.0 0.9 0.1
2 11.0 7.1 2.3 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 0.645
Total xG 1.796
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.005
Burnley attack strength 1.022
Burnley defence strength 0.653
Sheffield Utd attack strength 0.982
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43