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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

59%

Burnley

1.68

27%

Draw

3.68

13%

Norwich

7.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

2 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.93

0.51

Norwich xG

59%
27%
13%
BurnleyDrawNorwich

1.68

59%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

7.46

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.29

70%

BTTS No

1.44

Clean Sheet

60%

Burnley

1.67

24%

Norwich

4.12

Win to Nil

36%

Burnley

2.81

3%

Norwich

30.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 7.5 1.9 0.3
1 20.6 10.6 2.7 0.5 0.1
2 14.5 7.5 1.9 0.3
3 6.9 3.5 0.9 0.2
4 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 0.514
Total xG 1.929
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 0.989
Burnley attack strength 1.013
Burnley defence strength 0.597
Norwich attack strength 0.869
Norwich defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 87