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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
70%
1.44
23%
4.39
8%
13.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
20.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
17.7%
Home win
0 – 0
12.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.72
Burnley xG
Total xG
2.12
0.40
Luton xG
BurnleyDrawLuton
1.44
70%
Home win
4.39
23%
Draw
13.11
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
28%
BTTS Yes
3.63
72%
BTTS No
1.38
Clean Sheet
67%
1.49
18%
5.56
Win to Nil
47%
2.15
1%
72.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1 | 20.7 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 2 | 17.7 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 3 | 10.1 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.715
λ Away (xG)
0.401
Total xG
2.116
League avg home goals
1.341
League avg away goals
1.046
Burnley attack strength
0.899
Burnley defence strength
0.549
Luton attack strength
0.699
Luton defence strength
1.422
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
35 / 35