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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

36%

Bristol City

2.81

29%

Draw

3.39

35%

Wrexham

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.53

1.26

Wrexham xG

36%
29%
35%
Bristol CityDrawWrexham

2.81

36%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

28%

Bristol City

3.53

28%

Wrexham

3.57

Win to Nil

10%

Bristol City

9.91

10%

Wrexham

10.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 10.0 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.7 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.533
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.154
Bristol City attack strength 1.073
Bristol City defence strength 1.136
Wrexham attack strength 0.961
Wrexham defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 31